ECONOMY OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR OF THE TALAS REGION OF THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATIC FACTORS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52754/16948696_2025_3(12)_1Keywords:
climate change, agriculture, water balance, pastures, productivity, adaptation measuresAbstract
The relevance of the study was conditioned by the increasing impact of climate change on the agricultural sector of the Talas region of the Kyrgyz Republic, where agriculture plays a key role in ensuring food security, employment, and rural development. The trends of rising temperatures, decreasing precipitation, degradation of pasture lands, and reduction of water resources directly affect the sustainability of agricultural production in the region, making the task of assessing climate risks particularly significant. The purpose of the study was to comprehensively assess climate change over the past decades and determine its impact on the agricultural economy of the Talas region. The methodological basis included statistical analysis of temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind conditions, and evaporation, processing of long-term data, and interpretation of satellite images that reveal spatial changes in landscapes and natural resources over a period of approximately 40 years. The results showed a steady increase in the mean yearly temperature by 1.4°C and a decrease in yearly precipitation by 9-10%. A decrease in the area of glaciers, a decrease in spring runoff, degradation of pastures, a decrease in soil moisture supply and deterioration of conditions for agriculture were noted. The analysis of crop yields indicated a decrease in productivity in the valley and foothill zones, which was accompanied by a decrease in livestock production efficiency. The identified spatial differences in climate change enabled the identification of the most vulnerable areas and the designation of zones of increased climate risk. The practical significance of the study was to develop recommendations for the modernisation of irrigation systems, the introduction of drought-resistant crop varieties, the adaptation of pasture management, and the creation of a regional climate monitoring system aimed at increasing the sustainability of the agricultural sector of the Talas region.
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Copyright (c) 2026 Белек Эсенбек, Улан Чортомбаев, Мария Умарова, Айнура Дыйканова, Тологон Керимов
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